Indian Mujahideen: Computational Analysis and Public Policy

V.S. Subrahmanian, Aaron Mannes, Animesh Roul, R. K. Raghavan

Book cover

In Brief

Indian Mujahideen: Computational Analysis and Public Policy provides the first in-depth computational analysis of the Indian Mujahideen (IM) terror group. The book systematically gathers monthly data on 770 variables over a period of over 20 years and mines the data for statistically valid conditions that are predictors of different types of terror strikes carried out by IM or its affiliates. Authored by a mix of computer scientists, public policy experts, criminologists, and a former Director of India’s Central Bureau of Investigation, the book also includes a foreword by former US FBI Director Louis Freeh, the book also describes possible policies to mitigate future IM attacks.

The results of the analysis lead to a detailed description of the conditions under which IM carries out attacks on public sites, bombings, simultaneous and timed attacks, as well as information on the total number of deaths in these attacks. In addition, the book uses sophisticated techniques to automatically generate policies that are data-driven and that show promise of reducing future attacks by appropriately reshaping IM's operational environment. The book discusses these policies in detail, suggesting options to policymakers who are interested in reducing terrorist acts by IM. Slides with main results from the book can be found here.

The book is part of ongoing work at the Laboratory for Computational Cultural Dynamics.


The book can be purchased through Amazon:

The writers have successfully revealed the inside workings of this dangerous terrorist group which is presently a major threat to the Country of India. By examining the origins, known supporters, and current tactics of the IM, this well-organized book succeeds in letting India gain a deep knowledge of the enemy targeting the national security of India and its economic prosperity.

The Hon. Louis J. Freeh, Director – Federal Bureau of Investigation (1993-2001).

“This book presents a highly innovative computational approach to analyzing the strategic behavior of terrorist groups and formulating counter-terrorism policies. It would be very useful for international security analysts and policymakers.”

Uzi Arad, National Security Advisor to the Prime Minister of Israel and Head, Israel National Security Council (2009-2011).

“An important book on a complex security problem. Issues have been analysed in depth based on quality research. Insightful and well-balanced in describing the way forward.”

Naresh Chandra, Indian Ambassador to the USA (1996-2001) and Cabinet Secretary (1990-1992).

“An objective and clinical account of the origins, aims, extra-territorial links and modus-operandi, of a growingly dangerous terrorist organization that challenges the federal, democratic, secular and pluralistic ethos of India’s polity. The authors have meticulously researched and analysed the multi-faceted challenges that the “Indian Mujahideen” poses and realistically dwelt on the ways in which these challenges could be faced and overcome.”

G. Parthasarathy, High Commissioner of India to Australia (1995-1998) and Pakistan (1998-2000).

The authors need to be complimented for attempting a mathematical definition of a policy against the IM, for a sound analysis of the IM, and for offering some very sound operational suggestions. It is particularly creditable that the book, even though it deals with such a serious subject, is eminently readable by lay persons and therefore should educate them on a subject that is extremely relevant.

Nikhil Kumar, Governor of Kerala (March 2013-to date), ex-Governor of Nagaland (March 2013-to date), ex-Director General of India’s National Security Guards (June 1999-July 2001), and ex-Commissioner Delhi Police (Jan 1995-April 1997).

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