%0 Conference Paper
%B Information Visualization, 2007. IV '07. 11th International Conference
%D 2007
%T Similarity-Based Forecasting with Simultaneous Previews: A River Plot Interface for Time Series Forecasting
%A Buono,P.
%A Plaisant, Catherine
%A Simeone,A.
%A Aris,A.
%A Shneiderman, Ben
%A Shmueli,G.
%A Jank,W.
%K data driven forecasting method
%K data visualisation
%K Data visualization
%K Economic forecasting
%K forecasting preview interface
%K Graphical user interfaces
%K historical time series dataset
%K Laboratories
%K new stock offerings
%K partial time series
%K pattern matching
%K pattern matching search
%K Predictive models
%K river plot interface
%K Rivers
%K similarity-based forecasting
%K Smoothing methods
%K Technological innovation
%K Testing
%K time series
%K time series forecasting
%K Weather forecasting
%X Time-series forecasting has a large number of applications. Users with a partial time series for auctions, new stock offerings, or industrial processes desire estimates of the future behavior. We present a data driven forecasting method and interface called similarity-based forecasting (SBF). A pattern matching search in an historical time series dataset produces a subset of curves similar to the partial time series. The forecast is displayed graphically as a river plot showing statistical information about the SBF subset. A forecasting preview interface allows users to interactively explore alternative pattern matching parameters and see multiple forecasts simultaneously. User testing with 8 users demonstrated advantages and led to improvements.
%B Information Visualization, 2007. IV '07. 11th International Conference
%I IEEE
%P 191 - 196
%8 2007/07/04/6
%@ 0-7695-2900-3
%G eng
%R 10.1109/IV.2007.101